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Why Yields Can’t Rise

S&P 500 consolidated on yet another day of slowly rising rate cut odds, and the buying interest in all things bonds is still there, with ECB rate cutting excuse now. After SNB and Riksbank, the pressure is on BoE and ultimately the Fed, with today‘s non-farm payrolls likely to come on the weak side (that includes both the actual figure that I see between 140-150K, and revisions).

That leaves up to market interpretation whether the upcoming rate cuts are to be celebrated stronger than impact on corporate profitability and recessionary (stagflationary) fears. Was though good enough to capture great intraday gains Wednesday and Thursday.

Plenty of live coverage on Telegram and Twitter is coming – let this bond market chart be your first guide, except for precious metals as talked further.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq

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Let‘s move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com) – today‘s full scale article contains 3 more of them, with commentaries.

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Crude Oil

S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Crude oil daily resilience is supportive of springboard forming in real assets, and it highlights prior overall resilience in commodities. Of course the daily volume is weak just as in precious metals, but that‘s reflection of NFPs uncertainty and fears of really very bad (low) number.

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All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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