Once Again Fine
S&P 500 refused yet another intraday rebound attempt, and closed around my 3,955 level, which would be broken through on a closing basis today. And the catalyst would of course be unemployment claims via tightening– the bulls will have nothing today to run on.
Add some details about job market resilience and prospects, and you have more ingredients to usher in more downside in stocks as the rally of the laggards gets reversed, and behemoths start participating in the decline. Don‘t forget about the steep yield curve inversion and still declining LEIs, which together with disappearing liquidity and bank lending standards tightening will usher in recession with all its accompanying early hallmarks such as earnings downgrades, bankrupties rising, slower business formation, getting behind on payments of all kinds etc.
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Let‘s move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com).
Gold, Silver and Miners
The daily upswing reflects waning USD momentum over the last couple of days, and even if the volume is encouraging, this isn’t the end of PMs woes – the short end of the curve rising will propel the dollar higher still, making for a rickety ride in copper as well.
Crude oil continues doing fine as regards the sequence of strong supports – $71-73, then $76, and finally it’s the tough $78-80 resistance which needs an $82.50 clearance to the upside. As written yesterday, the time for a washout in energy, has grown distant.
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All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
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