Here, you’ll find timeless analyses beyond the S&P 500, precious metals, oil, copper or cryptos – special calls, reports on select commodities, USD Index, Treasuries, the Fed, macroeconomics etc.
Oct 15, 2021 – Key Market Shift Confirmed – on the importance of immediate adjustments to the bullish turns so as to power portfolio performance to fresh highs.
Oct 12, 2021 – S&P 500 Uphill Battle – hot CPI to confirm raging inflation.
Oct 01, 2021 – Sharp Market Turns Not To Miss – pesky inflation acknowledged by the Fed, energy crunch through China ordering its state-owned enterprises to secure oil supplies at any cost.
Sep 30, 2021 – Inflation Waking Up Bonds – the slowly but surely acknowledged inflation surprise will come back to bite.
Sep 27, 2021 – Reflation vs. Stagflation – the bigger picture leaves the ambitious Nov tapering suspect.
Sep 23, 2021 – So Much for Hawkish Fed – very aggressive $10-15bn a month taper plans set the bar a bit too high.
Sep 22, 2021 – Rescued by the Fed Again? – S&P 500 bears in need of a fresh reason to sell, Fed taper is a side show (already tightening through the back door), the slow and steady rising yields phase is deferred for now as we’re in a decelerating real economy faced with numerous deflationary pressures.
Sep 13, 2021 – Where Are the Fireworks? – S&P 500 is starting to run into headwinds thanks to inflation, stagflation worries.
Aug 27, 2021 – Taper Shock That Never Was – stealth real attempts to test the markets‘ tolerance to the continuing monetary largesse, Powell is keen to cement his legacy.
Aug 19, 2021 – Taper Squeeze Is On! – Fed would have a much harder time withdrawing liquidity now, taking on inflation through the dollar doesn‘t come without its own risks.
Aug 17, 2021 – Between a Rock and a Hard Place – it would be a tall order to turn off the spigot into a weakening economy.
Aug 13, 2021 – Fresh Highs to Meet Fresh Volatility – there is no forcing the Fed‘s hand through rising yields, the Fed practically having to do something in Jackson Hole– in all likelihood face saving only.
Aug 11, 2021 – CPI Fuel and the Smoldering Inflation Fire – regardless of the lower monthly CPI figure, inflation will keep being a thorn in its side for a long time.
Aug 09, 2021 – Gold and Silver Massacre to Continue? – Treasury yields made a double bottom, tech to give way to cyclicals, then inflation, reopening trades and interest-rate sensitive spreads (e.g. financials over utilities) should start doing better just as gold when taper is announced.
Aug 02, 2021 – Best Assets to Profit Now On – inflation / reopening trades still alive, Fed ill-positioned to withdraw liquidity à la 2018, Copper Trading Signals started.
Jul 06, 2021 – The Rise of Precious Metals and Commodities – real assets surging again, Fed as inflation fighter is subject to well deserved mockery.
Jun 29, 2021 – The Run Ignoring Inflation – Fed is behind the curve in taking on inflation, with only PMs behind the curve.
Jun 24, 2021 – Stocks Love the Back and Forth with the Fed – job market excuses forrr Fed “tightening” (long copper Standard and Advanced Money Management …. $4.30)
Jun 23, 2021 – Dialing Back the Fed Fears for Now – Fed “tightening” and “transitory”redefinitions powering rebound of inflation trades.
Jun 21, 2021 – Fed Didn‘t Tame Inflation – seeing through the smoke and mirrors of the Fed “tightening”.
Jun 10, 2021 – Inflation Storm Coming – in defence of inflation trades having further to run, Fed reluctant to act.
Jun 08, 2021 – One Last Hooray Before CPI? – greenback to reflexively rise on taper prospects.
Jun 04, 2021 – Another Taper Mirage Comes and Goes – taper very premature, barely budging inflation expectations, Treasury market vulnerability exposed yesterday, no slaying the stock market, PMs and commodities bulls.
Jun 03, 2021 – When Markets Get Scared and Reverse – betting on taper through good ADP report is premature.
Jun 02, 2021 – Reversals, Inflation, and Scares of Any Kind – transitory vs. permanent inflation and why inflation is goign to take front seat to a growth scare as inflation won’t retreat nearly enough.
May 27, 2021 – Hanging by a Proverbial Thread – so far it‘s only the precious metals that are calling the Fed‘s taper bluff, behaving as if the inflation battle has been lost.
May 26, 2021 – Eerily Serene Risk-off Markets – Treasury market reprieve I announced on May 18 to last more than a few good weeks, is here.
May 21, 2021 – Tug of War and Its Profitable Resolution – Fed taper intentions, inflation projections, reflation, reopenings and value still outperforming growth, why gold is underpinned.
May 19, 2021 – Bug in Search of Windshield – on thriving when inflation fears are hitting hard and the market doubts Fed’s willingness to fight it.
May 17, 2021 – Same Old Song and Dance – Almost – transitory vs. permanently elevated inflation discussion.
May 14, 2021 – Is the Selling Madness About Over? – tech posture improving, markets coming to terms with higher inflation.
May 12, 2021 – Bulls Coming to Terms with Inflation – CPI may force the Fed as much as it wants to, but the central bank won’t act on inflation.
May 07, 2021 – Ready for More Hot Gold and Stocks Profits – oil analysis, Bitcoin analysis, Oil Trading Signals and Bitcoin Trading Signals started.
May 06, 2021 – Stocks and Gold – Hot and Hotter – upcoming SPX break higher, USDX vulnerable, gold and silver about to shake off the dollar shackles and catch up to commodities.
May 03, 2021 – Taper Smoke and Mirrors – Kaplan trial baloon won’t save USD, Bitcoin analysis.
Apr 29, 2021 – Enough Consolidation Already! – oil analysis.
Apr 26, 2021 – No Upsetting the Apple Cart in Stocks or Gold – we’re in an inflation environment already, USD bear market reasserting itself.
Apr 23, 2021 – The Tax Plan to Slay the Stock Bull? – Bitcoin analysis.
Apr 21, 2021 – Gold Unleashed – Rip Your Face Off Rally Is Here – oil analysis.
Apr 20, 2021 – Gold Reversal? Have No Fear! – USD trend is down now.
Apr 15, 2021 – Stocks, Gold and Commodities Meet the Fed – SPX correction to be very temporary, as Fed confirmed inflation tolerance and no buybacks in bonds, PMs to take commodities’ cue next.
Apr 07, 2021 – On the Verge of Stocks Pullback – extended but S&P 500 is in a major bull market with 95%+ stocks above 200-day moving average.
Apr 01, 2021 – Stock ATHs and Gold Double Bottom – rising inflation expectations still no issue for stocks, gold turning positive.
Mar 29, 2021 – What Could Slay the Stock & Gold Bulls – why the Fed unlikely to act now won’t result in deflation, and why stock market’s eventual woes from rising yields would bring about first deflation then USD devaluation against gold in the far future.
Mar 26, 2021 – Why It‘s Reasonable to Be Bullish Stocks and Gold – reflation trade dynamic returning, fresh money avalange & MMT, no deflation scare.
Mar 19, 2021 – Breaking the Spell of Rising Yields – how doubting the Fed puts a floor undet PMs, gold decoupling from TLT, still bullish oil analysis.
Mar 17, 2021 – Squaring the Bets Prior to the Fed – how expectation from the Fed fit into the stimulus barrage, stocks and precious metals upswing.
Mar 15, 2021 – Gold and Stock Bulls Are Getting Ready – relating rising inflation expectations to yields, sticking by the great Russell 2000 prospects.
Mar 12, 2021 – Resting Stock Bulls and Gold Question Marks – why the market knows the Fed won’t do anything more now, and what happens in gold, dollar and emerging markets once it acts. How far gold is in discounting that outcome.
Mar 09, 2021 – Stocks Shaking Off Weak Tech As Gold Bottoms? – Mar 08 analysis enriched with the TLT & USDX eyes. Extensive examples of my profitable trade calls through the years, and 2021 portfolio call successes.
Mar 08, 2021 – No More Rocking the Boat in Stocks But Gold? – nominal rates, real rates, inflation and inflation expectation explained as regards stocks and gold. Long-term view of gold, silver and copper. The consequences of the coming Fed response.
Mar 04, 2021 – Are S&P 500 and Precious Metals Bears Just Getting Started? – game plan for gold nearing key supports, as markets twist Fed’s hand (gold … $1,701).
Mar 01, 2021 – Stocks, Gold – Rebound or Dead Cat Bounce? – identifying S&P 500 sectoral plays to do well & laying the optimistic case for new stock highs sooner than many might think.
Feb 25, 2021 – Why Tech Is Giving Me Jeepers – Watch Out, Gold – calling the tech plunge and dangers for gold.
Feb 24, 2021 – Tech Holds the Key to S&P 500 – the lack of follow-through in gold leads me to bang the warning drum all the way to Fri’s $1,720 selloff (gold downwards … $1,806 till $1,720).
Feb 22, 2021 – Kiss of Life for Gold – the anticipated sharp upswing in gold materialized (gold upwards … $1,777 till $1,806).
Feb 19, 2021 – Why the Sky Is Not Falling in Precious Metals – the razor’s edge we’re at in gold as the heat from plunging long-term Treasuries intensifies, forcing the Fed into war on two fronts – yet neither the yellow metal nor miners are diving without end in sight, just zoom out.
Feb 18, 2021 – S&P 500 Correction – No Need to Hold Onto Your Hat – the Fed moves, stock market bull run in no jeopardy, and quickening long-dated Treasuries slump forcing the central bank eventually into yield curve control.
Feb 17, 2021 – Is That the S&P 500 And Gold Correction Finally? – anatomy of the gold bull run and Fed actions through 2015-2021, diving into inflation cascading through the system and its effects upon precious metals and commodities taking the outperformance baton one from the other.
Feb 12, 2021 – S&P 500 Correction Looming, Just as in Gold – Or Not? – introducing the long silver short gold spread trade idea as a highly promising and immediate one (long silver … $27.30 & short gold … $1,823).
Feb 10, 2021 – Stocks Ripe for a Breather As Gold and Silver Remain Strong – uranium analysis, bullish outlook on uranium as a commodity and as an ETF (long URA …. $17.50)
Feb 09, 2021 – PMs Charging Higher As Stocks Keep Pushing On a String – oil analysis calling out for higher $WTIC prices, bullish 2021+ outlook (long $WTIC … $58).
Feb 08, 2021 – Gold About To Spring As Stocks Cool Off At Highs – calling dollar as topping out, and its coming downleg targeting new lows (short $USD … 91.10).
Feb 01, 2021 – How to Shake Off the Blues in Stocks and Break Out in Gold – why this GameStop coinciding correction is likely over in stocks, why being long silver makes sense for longer-term oriented investors & how to play silver squeeze and similar events. Gold Trading Signals started.
Jan 25, 2021 – Rosy February for S&P 500? Not So Fast – big picture view and 2021 prognostications across many assets including Bitcoin alongside others (long $BTC … $32,275).
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